#6 UCLA 3, #5 Washington
1 (25-18, 25-22, 22-25, 28-26)
next: Colorado @
Washington | November 2 | 6PM
[10.29.12 | 10:00PM | CORRECTION to number of sets lost by just two points (5 not 4)]
Yes, Washington
has now lost 4 of 5 after winning its first 16 in a row.
But all four losses were (a) crazy close; and (b) to the
other four members of the Pac-12’s Fab Five (Stanford, Oregon, UCLA, USC, Washington).
Amanda Gil and Kelcey Dunaway -courtesy Shutter Geeks Photography |
Before we move on, consider:
46-3
|
Fab Five
record against rest of the nation, a .939 winning percentage (Stanford lost in
4 at Hawai’i and in 5 at Penn State; UCLA lost in 5 at Nebraska)
|
|
38-0
|
Fab Five
record against the other seven Pac-12 teams (they are in a class by
themselves)
|
|
0
|
Times, so
far this season, that one of the Fab Five teams has won twice against another
Fab Five team
|
|
1
|
Wins, so far
this season, by UCLA against another Fab Five team. Washington, Oregon and
USC each have two Fab Five wins; Stanford is 4-0.
|
|
6
|
Times
Oregon will play regular-season Fab Five opponents this season. UCLA and USC
will each play 7; Washington and Stanford will play 8. The imbalance is due
to the Pac-12’s dreadful new
imbalanced schedule; this year and next, Oregon plays the two LA schools just
once each.
|
|
12
|
Sets won,
so far, by Washington against fellow Fab Five teams
|
|
14
|
Sets lost,
so far, by Washington against fellow Fab Five teams
|
|
3
|
Sets lost
to Fab Five by 3 points
|
|
5
|
Sets lost
to Fab Five by 2 points
|
|
8
|
Times during
those 2-point set losses that Washington had, then lost, set point, and went
on to lose the set
|
|
1
|
Times
Washington had, then lost, match point (against Stanford)
|
Let’s look at how those 8 set points (over four matches)
were lost:
@ Oregon
|
24-22, set
1
|
Vansant
serves, Fisher kills left line
|
@ Oregon
|
24-23, set
1
|
Brenner/Williams
block Nelson
|
Stanford
|
24-23, set
2
|
Muñoz serves
wide
|
Stanford
|
25-24, set
2
|
Vansant
serves, Ajanaku kills right slide
|
Stanford
|
24-23, set
4
|
Beals
serves long (match point)
|
@ UCLA
|
24-23, set
4
|
Vansant
serves, Kidder kills left cross-court
|
@ UCLA
|
25-24, set
4
|
Orlandini
serves, Kidder kills left cross-court
|
@ UCLA
|
26-25, set
4
|
Beals
serves, Kidder kills right cross-court
|
In seven of the eight instances, Krista Vansant was in the
back row, three times as the server. That means that—when Vansant is in the
back row at set point—
- UW (including Vansant) must serve tougher, to keep the opponent out of system (see Rachel Kidder’s three consecutive kills)
- Setters must figure a way to get front-row kills from someone other than Vansant
- Servers must figure a way to serve tough at set point without committing a service error
Washington has just two remaining Fab Five matches: at
Stanford November 8, and hosting Oregon November 16.
- Stanford has a 4-0 Fab Five record, but still must face Oregon, UCLA and USC on the road, and Washington at home
- Oregon is 2-1, with home matches against Stanford and UCLA, and Washington on the road
- USC is 2-3, with Stanford at home, and UCLA on the road
- UCLA is 1-3, with Stanford and USC at home, and Oregon on the road
And so, consider this: Regardless of how the Fab Five finish
against each other (and it could be tight), those five teams have a pretty good
chance of posting a collective record against all other opponents—conference and
non-conference—of 110-3.
That’s 110-3.
NCAA Tournament
Selection committee, are you listening?
See also:
Slow start costs UW in 3-1 volleyball loss to UCLA (Terry Wood)
UW has actually lost 5 sets by 2 to other Fab Five teams. Set 1 at Oregon, sets 2 and 4 against Stanford at home, set 4 at USC, and set 4 at UCLA. Makes the point a little stronger... There is very little separating any of these 5 teams. It is unfortunate that the schedule is unbalanced for some. Go Dawgs!
ReplyDeleteMuch thanks for catching this ... correction made.
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